https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses-rss ESISC - Analyses - RSS en-us Tue, 07 Aug 2012 15:02:45 GMT Thu, 16 Apr 2026 17:00:17 GMT N2 CMS ESISC https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/appartenance-memoire-et-securite-leducation-comme-rempart-protecteur Au XXIe siècle, l'identité culturelle est passée de la marge du débat public au centre des tensions sociales et politiques. L'accélération des mouvements transfrontaliers, la numérisation des interactions et l'érosion des institutions culturelles locales ont plongé de nombreuses communautés minoritaires et diasporiques dans un environnement marqué par l'isolement, la perte de repères et la fragilité identitaire. Tue, 23 Sep 2025 09:36:03 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/belonging-memory-and-security-the-protective-power-of-education In the 21st century, cultural identity has moved from the margins of public debate to the center of social and political tensions. The acceleration of cross-border movements, the digitalization of interactions, and the erosion of local cultural institutions have plunged many minority and diasporic communities into an environment marked by isolation, loss of reference points, and fragile identity. Tue, 23 Sep 2025 09:26:36 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/protecting-the-rule-of-law-and-investors-in-post-war-reconstruction-in-ukraine-anti-corruption-strategies-and-foreign-policy-safeguards All indications are that the war in Ukraine will not end in military victory for either side, but rather in political negotiations – likely under American pressure and with varying degrees of involvement from the European Union and some of its Member States – that will essentially proceed on terms dictated by Russia. Wed, 17 Sep 2025 09:27:31 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/proteger-letat-de-droit-et-les-investisseurs-dans-la-reconstruction-dapres-guerre-en-ukraine-strategies-anti-corruption-et-garanties-en-matiere-de-politique-etrangere Tout indique que la guerre en Ukraine ne se terminera pas par une victoire militaire pour l'un ou l'autre camp, mais plutôt par des négociations politiques – probablement sous la pression américaine et avec la participation, à des degrés divers, de l'Union européenne et de certains de ses États membres – qui se dérouleront essentiellement selon les conditions dictées par la Russie. Wed, 17 Sep 2025 08:52:18 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/wikipedia-immense-but-uncontrollable-power With editions in 350 languages, over 300 million pages and tens of millions of articles, Wikipedia has become one of the ten most visited websites in the world over the past 24 years. The online encyclopedia is thus an essential resource for journalists, politicians and, more generally, anyone seeking information on a given subject. However, this success and dominant position does not immunize this ever-expanding project against certain weaknesses, excesses, and abuses. As we will demonstrate in this report, it is the very functioning of the online "collaborative encyclopedia" that generates these problems: anyone can contribute anonymously - without having any specific knowledge or authority to deal with a subject - and anyone can modify any article, just as anonymously. Sun, 18 May 2025 11:33:47 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/wikipedia-un-pouvoir-immense-mais-incontrolable Avec ses éditions en 350 langues, ses plus de 300 millions de pages et ses dizaines de millions d’articles, Wikipédia est devenue, en vingt-quatre ans, l’un des dix sites web les plus visités au monde. L’encyclopédie en ligne s’affiche ainsi comme une ressource incontournable pour les journalistes, les politiques et, plus généralement, pour quiconque souhaite s’informer sur un sujet donné. Pourtant, ce succès et cette position dominante n’immunisent pas ce projet en constant développement contre certaines faiblesses, dérives et abus. Ainsi que nous le démontrerons dans ce rapport, c’est le fonctionnement même de « l’encyclopédie collaborative » en ligne qui génère ces problèmes : tout un chacun peut y contribuer anonymement (sans justifier d’aucune connaissance particulière ni d’aucune autorité pour traiter un sujet) et tous peuvent modifier, tout aussi anonymement, n’importe quel article. Sun, 18 May 2025 11:04:34 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/isral-comment-se-deroulera-linevitable-offensive-terrestre-sur-gaza La seule question qui se pose, concernant l’offensive terrestre israélienne contre le Hamas, n’est pas de savoir SI elle aura lieu mais bien QUAND elle commencera. Avec, comme interrogations subsidiaires : quelle sera son ampleur et jusqu’où s’étendra-t-elle ? Thu, 12 Oct 2023 11:15:49 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/15880 Next Sunday, 20 November 2022, the Kazakhs will go to the polls to elect their next president. In normal circumstances, this election in a remote Central Asian country would probably be of little interest to a European audience. However, the European Union - and several capitals - will have their eyes on this huge country. Indeed, the election is taking place in a dual context: that of the modernisations and democratisation sought by President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev following the serious unrest of last January, and that of the war in Ukraine and the European break with Moscow, which is forcing Brussels to seek new energy partners to replace the Russian one. Sun, 20 Nov 2022 12:36:38 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/15878 Dimanche prochain, le 20 novembre 2022, les Kazakhs se rendront aux urnes pour élire leur prochain président. En temps normal, cette élection, dans un lointain pays d’Asie centrale, intéresserait probablement fort peu un public européen. Pourtant, l’Union européenne – et plusieurs capitales – auront les yeux braqués sur cet immense pays. En effet, l’élection se déroule dans un double contexte : celui des modernisations et de la démocratisation voulues par le président Kassym-Jomart Tokaïev à la suite des graves troubles de janvier dernier et celui de la guerre en Ukraine et de la rupture européenne avec Moscou qui force Bruxelles à rechercher de nouveaux partenaires énergétiques pour remplacer le partenaire russe. Sun, 20 Nov 2022 12:20:31 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/why-vladimir-putin-has-already-lost-in-ukraine Vladimir Putin's ill-considered military adventure will have various consequences and its repercussions will be spread out over the years to come, profoundly modifying the European and therefore the world strategic landscape. But I am already certain of one thing: it will mean the end of Vladimir Putin. Wed, 02 Mar 2022 17:41:23 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/pourquoi-vladimir-poutine-a-deja-perdu-en-ukraine L’aventure militaire irréfléchie de Vladimir Poutine aura des conséquences diverses et ses répercussions s’étaleront sur les années à venir, modifiant en profondeur le paysage stratégique européen et donc mondial. Mais j’ai d’ores et déjà une certitude : elle signera la fin de Vladimir Poutine. Wed, 02 Mar 2022 09:02:08 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/15870 Sat, 29 Jan 2022 14:08:02 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-rise-of-the-right-wing-violent-extremism-threat-in-germany-and-its-transnational-character The recent attacks in Hanau and Halle demonstrate that a challenge previously thought to be predominantly local is acquiring a transnational character, spreading from Canada to Australia and from the US to Europe Mon, 02 Mar 2020 00:47:19 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/15850 Josep Borrell, the EU’s top foreign policy official, recently declared that if Europeans want to avoid being squeezed into insignificance by great powers who are mercilessly engaging in realpolitik while using Europe as a chessboard, then they must “learn to use the language of power” and be ready to implement all the necessary measures to make the European Union (EU) a more strategically autonomous security player. While the EU seems to be motivated to strengthen its strategic autonomy, this will require more attention to designing EU defence and security cooperation initiatives, so that they strengthen both European and transatlantic security also considering the problems experienced today by the North Atlantic Alliance. Sat, 01 Feb 2020 13:48:16 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-european-defence-fund In recent years, the European Union (EU) has had to deal with increasingly challenging security threats, ranging from growing armed conflicts in the European neighbourhood, Russia's increasingly aggressive posture, a worsening situation in the Middle East and North Africa and Trump's intimations of renewed US isolationism; there are also 'hybrid' threats such as the rise of terrorism and violent extremism, potential cyber-attacks against vital EU infra-structure and disinformation campaigns aimed at destabilising member countries political environments. The European Defence Fund (EDF) is part of the set of initiatives implemented by the European Union (EU) - in line with the objectives outlined in the 2016 Global Strategy - aimed at strengthening cooperation and coordination of its security and defence policies and thus responding to the growing threats mentioned above. Sun, 15 Dec 2019 11:45:08 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-recent-iranian-terrorist-plots-in-europe Our Ceo Claude Moniquet analyses the current terrorist threat posed to Europe by the Iranian government. Mon, 04 Feb 2019 15:44:24 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/13803 L’ESISC réalise une analyse sur le mouvement des Gilets jaunes qui sera disponible vendredi 7 décembre à partir de 14 heures (à la veille de la prochaine grande journée de mobilisation). Wed, 05 Dec 2018 13:39:45 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/gun-violence-as-american-as-cherry-pie Civilian firearms manufacturing, ownership and murder trends in context of the two deadliest mass shooting in U.S. history. In the 1960’s, political activist H. Rap Brown described that violence “is as American as cherry pie”. This paper investigates the particularity of gun violence in the United States by consider-ing the prevalence of firearms laterally to an escalation in firearms murders. The preva-lence of firearms is assessed by considering trends in gun manufacturing and ownership. This examination takes place in the context of the deadliest mass shooting in U.S. history taking place in Las Vegas on 1 October 2017, and the deadliest church shooting in Texas on 5 November 2017, which illustrate a recent escalation in gun violence. This paper will also consider the political discussions following the shootings, which highlight political points of interests in current U.S. gun legislation. The shootings were utilized by both those opposing current legislation and those who support it, with new dimensions introduced to the debate including bipartisan concerns regarding the transformation of assault rifles into automatic weapons. Thu, 30 Nov 2017 10:48:21 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/11832 Etude de cas Fian-Belgium Les « dérives néocolonialistes » d’une ONG de développement Mon, 22 May 2017 09:48:15 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/11826 Rapport présenté le 4 octobre 2016 dans le cadre du colloque « The growing threat of trafficking in women, sexual exploitation and prostitution : protecting human rights of women and ending violence » Wed, 26 Apr 2017 15:43:42 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-armenian-connection-chapter-2--mr-x--nils-muinieks-council-of-europe-commissioner-for-human-rights As was announced in a previous report devoted to the Armenian network which operates stealthily within the Council of Europe Parliamentary Assembly, we reveal today the identity of Mister “X”, the pivotal figure of the clandestine network. Mister “X” is the Latvian Nils Muižnieks, who for more than 5 years has been the Council of Europe’s Commissioner for Human Rights and who was an employee for Georges Soros. Wed, 19 Apr 2017 09:32:53 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/11791 For several years, a network of non-governmental organizations and its connections within the Council of Europe has led a merciless propaganda campaign against Azerbaijan to benefit Armenia. While no one assumes that Azerbaijan is a perfect and ideal State, it is clear that these unilateral and untruthful attacks are the tool of a hidden political agenda: to defend Armenia’s illegal occupation of Nagorny-Karabakh and to place the control of all Council of Europe activities in central and eastern Europe in the hands of a small clique that, despite appearances, hides its private interests behind the purview of the “defense of human rights.” In this first report, we will try to unveil the extent of these activities. Mon, 06 Mar 2017 09:21:31 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/11770 Le lundi 26 septembre était une date d’une importance particulière pour la République d’Azerbaïdjan : les citoyens azerbaïdjanais étaient invités à se prononcer sur une série d’amendements de la Constitution. Cette réforme d’une Constitution qui se caractérise par le souci de la protection de la démocratie et des droits fondamentaux du citoyen constituait une démonstration incontestable de la volonté de l’Etat azerbaïdjanais de conforter les droits garantis par la Constitution à tous les citoyens, sans distinction de genre, d’ethnicité et de conviction philosophique et religieuse. Mon, 28 Nov 2016 15:07:07 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/symbolic-loss-of-dabiq-prompts-adapted-propaganda-strategy-for-islamic-state One of the greatest tools of the Islamic State (IS) is its propaganda machine. Since its creation, IS has mastered the art of communication, especially on social media, through video production, and by positioning itself to be found during internet searches. It has adopted a communication strategy that is calculated, planned, and powerful. This strategy allows IS to recruit, to inform, and also to terrorize its enemies by releasing videos of mass executions and decapitations. In recent months, the coalition forces have begun to systematically dismantle this machine, both in terms of personnel and electronic infrastructure, forcing IS to adapt and focus more on private electronic messaging and on quality over quantity of materials published. Mon, 24 Oct 2016 11:59:03 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/belgique-la-fusillade-de-forest-revele-lexistence-dun-reseau-en-lien-avec-les-attentats-de-paris-et-noyau-dur-doperations-terroristes Au lendemain de la fusillade de Forest dans laquelle 4 policiers ont été blessés, un suspect a d’ores et déjà été identifié, tandis qu’au moins 2, sinon 3, sont toujours en fuite. Cette fusillade est depuis l’assaut donné sur l’appartement de Saint Denis du 18 Novembre, le premier incident impliquant l’utilisation d’armes à feu. Wed, 16 Mar 2016 16:35:29 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/latest-crackdown-measures-against-pkk-and-is-reveal-the-security-priorities-for-the-turkish The latest operations against IS terrorists and members of the Kurdistan Worker’s Party (PKK) reveal the 2 priority targets the Turkish government posed concerning the security of the country. The government of Justice and Development Party (AKP) and President Erdogan showed with their policy towards PKK and IS that these 2 groups are perceived as the main security threat. Already prior to the national elections of November 1st AKP introduced a hard-line policy towards PKK and IS which was announced that it would continue even more intensified after the election results, when AKP won the parliamentary majority. Wed, 11 Nov 2015 14:04:42 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/russia-islamic-state-vs-al-qaeda-deepening-crisis-in-imarat-kavkaz-contributes-to-the-reinforcement-of-is-positions-in-post-soviet-space The security developments of the past months in Northern Caucasus indicate two main trends: 1. The clear weakening of the positions of Al-Qaeda-linked Imarat Kavkaz and 2. The reinforcing positions of the Islamic State. Indeed, a recent string of counter-terrorism operations in Northern Caucasus, that resulted in the killing of numerous senior terrorist members of Imarat Kavkaz including the Emir Mukhammad, who succeeded Doku Umarov after his death, put the group in situation of harsh competition with the Islamic State who is increasing its presence in Russia. Thu, 21 May 2015 15:31:13 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/tanzaniakenya-new-al-qaeda-linked-terrorist-group-al-muhajiroun-in-east-africa-issues-threat-against-western-targets In a statement, posted online on May 4, a recently created Al-Qaeda-linked terrorist group named 'Al-Muhajiroun in East Africa' threatened to carry out attacks against western interests in the region, accusing UN forces of 'encouraging repressions against Muslims'. The group also threatened to carry out attacks against targets in Tanzania, Uganda and Kenya. The latest statement, that was published the same day as when a Tanzanian convoy was attacked by ADF rebels in North Kivu province in Democratic Republic of Congo, raises concerns over the threat presented by the new Al-Qaeda offspring in East Africa. Fri, 08 May 2015 12:33:51 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/6760 While the United States are fighting, with an international coalition, the so-called Islamic State terrorist group in Iraq and Syria, Boko Haram, the Nigerian jihadist group, is now directly threatening one of Nigeria’s main cities. This insurgency is holding territory after a series of victories against the Nigerian army and the proclamation, last month, of a “caliphate”. Despite the international outrage provoked by the kidnapping of more than 200 girls from a school in April 2014 and the declaration of the state of emergency since May 2013 in the states of Borno, Yobe and Adamawa, the terrorist group continues to gain ground. Wed, 24 Sep 2014 17:01:51 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/sochi-high-threats-but-low-risk The security paradox of Winter Olympic Games in Sochi is obvious to any observer of the Russian scene and to every security analysts: the threat level is very high... Thu, 06 Feb 2014 14:35:04 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/sotchi-menaces-elevees-mais-risques-faibles Le paradoxe sécuritaire des Jeux olympiques d’hiver à Sotchi est évident pour tout observateur de la scène russe et pour tout analyste de la sécurité : le niveau des menaces est très élevé ... Thu, 06 Feb 2014 12:37:42 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/remarks-on-the-second-interim-report-of-the-osceodihr The European Strategic Intelligence and Security Center continues today its analysis of the political situation in Azerbaijan at the eve of the Presidential elections of October 9 (...) Sat, 05 Oct 2013 11:03:22 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/remarks-on-the-first-interim-report-of-the-osceodihr In recent years the European Strategic Intelligence and Security Center (ESISC) follows with great attention the political situation in the Republic of Azerbaijan. In many aspects, the present and the future of the country is of great interest for the political and economic actors of the Western countries. Mon, 23 Sep 2013 10:51:29 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-republic-of-azerbaijan-a-model-of-good-governance On October 9 2013, 4,9 millions of Azeri voters will go to the polls to elect their president and determine the future direction of their old but relatively recent independent nation. Mon, 09 Sep 2013 15:31:24 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/al-shabaab-on-twitter-the-use-of-internet-by-jihadist-organizations At the beginning of February Somalia's Al-Qaeda linked Al-Shabaab insurgents have returned to Twitter with a new account, after they were suspended because using twitter to post a photographs of a French they had killed. [...] Mon, 29 Apr 2013 12:47:00 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-obama-administrations-reshuffle-and-centre-of-gravity-in-foreign-policy President Barack Obama’s second term in office, which will officially begin on 21 January 2013, offers him the unprecedented opportunity to reshuffle his team in charge of foreign policy and national security. Mon, 21 Jan 2013 12:13:29 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/remaniement-et-centre-de-gravite-de-ladministration-en-politique-etrangere Le second mandat du président Barack Obama, qui a officiellement débuté le 20 janvier 2013, lui offre une occasion sans précédent de remanier son équipe en charge de la politique étrangère et de sécurité nationale. Mon, 21 Jan 2013 00:00:00 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-armenian-job The role of the Armenian lobby in the pattern of enmity in South Caucasus. Thu, 17 Jan 2013 14:44:31 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-armenian-iran-relationship Strategic implication for security in the South Caucasus Region. Thu, 17 Jan 2013 00:00:00 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/american-presidential-elections-2012-what-would-a-second-term-in-office-of-president-obama-mean-for-foreign-policy In American politics, a president’s second term is generally perceived as offering an opportunity to assert oneself in the domain of foreign policy and, thereby, to make one’s mark on history. Fri, 19 Oct 2012 11:31:00 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/presidentielle-americaine-2012-quelles-perspectives-pour-un-second-mandat-du-president-obama-en-matiere-de-politique-etrangere En politique américaine, le second mandat présidentiel est généralement perçu comme offrant à son titulaire une opportunité de s’affirmer dans le domaine de la politique étrangère et, par ce biais, d’entrer dans l’histoire. (...) Fri, 19 Oct 2012 11:30:00 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/israel-iran-a-war-in-the-making Following several weeks of rising tension between Israel and Iran, feelings are running high. Jerusalem is threatening to deliver (...) Thu, 04 Oct 2012 17:58:03 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/isral-iran-une-guerre-attendue Depuis quelques semaines, la tension entre Israël et l’Iran est à son comble. Jérusalem agite la menace d’une frappe préventive (...) Thu, 04 Oct 2012 17:54:54 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/american-presidential-elections-2012-mitt-romneys-foreign-policy Following the recent withdrawals from the Republican primaries of Messrs Gingrich and Paul, as well as his victory in Texas (...) Mon, 25 Jun 2012 12:44:51 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/presidentielle-americaine-2012-la-politique-etrangere-de-mitt-romney Avec les récents retraits de MM. Gingrich et Paul de la primaire républicaine ainsi que sa victoire dans le Texas (...) Mon, 25 Jun 2012 12:35:31 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/1409 In 1950, 30% of the world’s total population lived in cities. Now more than half of the population resides in urban areas (...) Wed, 02 May 2012 14:57:04 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/violence-urbaine-un-etat-des-lieux En 1950, 30% de l’ensemble de la population mondiale vivait en ville. Aujourd’hui plus de la moitié de la population réside (...) Wed, 02 May 2012 14:52:49 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/serbia-kosovo-a-glimmer-of-light-at-the-end-of-the-tunnel Finally! On 24 February 2012, Serbia and Kosovo succeeded in reaching their first overall agreement (...) Tue, 03 Apr 2012 13:36:20 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/serbie-kosovo-une-lueur-au-bout-du-tunnel Enfin ! La Serbie et le Kosovo sont parvenus, le 24 février 2012, au premier accord global (...) Tue, 03 Apr 2012 13:30:47 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-american-presidential-campaign-2012-the-republicans-and-foreign-policy Though they are rarely decisive, questions relating to foreign policy and national security remain an essential element (...) Mon, 26 Mar 2012 14:47:54 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/presidentielle-americaine-2012-les-republicains-et-la-politique-etrangere Si elles sont rarement décisives, les questions relatives à la politique étrangère et à la sécurité nationale (...) Mon, 26 Mar 2012 14:43:17 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/bosnia-herzegovina-the-new-government-put-to-the-test A plume of white smoke was spotted in Sarajevo on 28 December 2011: an agreement was finally reached between the two entities (...) Tue, 13 Mar 2012 14:15:04 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/bosnie-herzegovine-le-nouveau-gouvernement-au-pied-du-mur La fumée blanche est donc apparue le 28 décembre 2011 à Sarajevo : un accord était enfin trouvé entre les deux entités (...) Tue, 13 Mar 2012 13:50:54 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/inter-institutional-and-budgetary-interactions-between-the-european-free-trade-association-and-the-european-union--a-synopsis This document offers an easily-accessible synopsis on the interactions between EFTA institutions and the European Union (...) Tue, 31 Jan 2012 14:20:27 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/united-states-change-in-the-role-of-the-cia-and-of-the-pentagon-in-the-fight-against-terrorism On 30 June, Leon Panetta left his post as director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) to become Secretary of Defense (...) Sun, 11 Sep 2011 12:14:05 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/etats-unis-evolution-du-role-de-la-cia-et-du-pentagone-dans-la-lutte-contre-le-terrorisme Le 30 juin dernier, Leon Panetta quittait la direction de la Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) pour devenir secrétaire à la Défense (...) Sun, 11 Sep 2011 11:43:33 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/lamerique-centrale-face-a-linsecurite-une-cooperation-regionale-elargie Les 22 et 23 juin derniers, la ville de Guatemala a accueilli la Première Conférence de Soutien à la Stratégie de Sécurité (...) Mon, 25 Jul 2011 11:31:34 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/central-america-confronting-insecurity-expanded-regional-cooperation On 22 and 23 June, Guatemala City hosted the First Conference of Support for the Security Strategy of Central America (...) Mon, 25 Jul 2011 00:00:00 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/1405 Over the past few years, Syrian President Bashar el-Assad tried to reposition Syria on the international stage (...) Mon, 27 Jun 2011 14:34:12 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/la-crise-syrienne-lheure-de-verite-pour-bachar-el-assad-et-pour-lopposition Ces dernières années, le président syrien, Bachar el-Assad, avait tenté de repositionner la Syrie sur la scène internationale (...) Mon, 27 Jun 2011 14:28:44 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/kosovo-the-republic-built-from-a-kit-what-credit-should-be-accorded-to-the-political-class-of-kosovo A government which does not manage to achieve stability, factions which tear one another apart (...) Fri, 27 May 2011 14:59:25 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/kosovo-une-republique-en-kit-quel-credit-accorder-a-la-classe-politique-kosovare Un gouvernement qui n’arrive pas à se stabiliser, des factions qui se déchirent sur fond de crime organisé (...) Fri, 27 May 2011 14:22:50 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/barack-obamas-assertion-as-commander-in-chief On 28 April, President Barack Obama announced the replacement of Secretary of Defense Robert Gates (...) Wed, 18 May 2011 13:08:18 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/laffirmation-de-barack-obama-en-tant-que-commandant-en-chef Le 28 avril dernier, le président Barack Obama annonçait le remplacement du secrétaire à la Défense Robert Gates (...) Wed, 18 May 2011 13:01:58 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/afghanistan-status-and-prospects-in-2011 The year 2010 ended as one of the most significant years in the latest conflict in Afghanistan (...) Thu, 10 Mar 2011 12:49:06 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/bresil-la-defense-une-affaire-detat Initié en 1999 par la création du ministère de la Défense durant la présidence de M. Fernando Enrique Cardoso (...) Mon, 06 Dec 2010 11:26:23 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/brazil-defence-an-issue-of-state The process of modernising, or aggiornamento of Brazil’s Defence organisation began in 1999 (...) Mon, 06 Dec 2010 11:20:19 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/euro-atlantique-ou-moyen-orientale-la-turquie-a-la-recherche-dun-compromis-strategique La récente crise turco-israélienne, survenue au lendemain de l’affaire de l’attaque de la flottille à destination de Gaza (...) Mon, 28 Jun 2010 12:52:42 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/euro-atlantic-or-middle-eastern-turkey-seeks-a-strategic-compromise The recent Turkish-Israeli crisis which occurred immediately after the attack on the humanitarian assistance flotilla (...) Mon, 28 Jun 2010 12:42:46 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/united-states-the-resignation-of-dennis-blair-and-the-shortcomings-of-the-position-of-director-of-intelligence On 21 May, Dennis C. Blair announced his resignation from the post of Director of National Intelligence (DNI)(...) Tue, 08 Jun 2010 13:01:33 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/etats-unis-la-demission-de-dennis-blair-et-les-carences-de-la-fonction-de-directeur-du-renseignement Le 21 mai dernier, Dennis C. Blair annonça sa démission du poste de directeur du renseignement national (...) Tue, 08 Jun 2010 12:57:22 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/sharia4belgium-an-atypical-but-extremist-salafist-organisation-steps-on-the-belgian-stage This Saturday, May 22 2010, will be a test for the fledgling organisation Sharia4Belgium, after it has applied (...) Fri, 21 May 2010 13:11:51 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/sharia4belgium-une-organisation-salafiste-atypique-mais-extremiste-fait-ses-debuts-en-belgique Ce samedi 22 mai 2010 sera un test pour la jeune organisation Sharia4Belgium, qui a déposé une demande d’autorisation (...) Fri, 21 May 2010 13:06:41 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/kyrgyzstan-the-rosa-revolution On 24 March, on the eve of the fifth anniversary of the tulip revolution which brought him to power, (...) Mon, 10 May 2010 13:00:22 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/kirghizistan-la-revolution-de-rosa Le 24 mars dernier, à la veille du cinquième anniversaire de la révolution des tulipes qui l’avait porté au pouvoir (...) Mon, 10 May 2010 12:51:09 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-polisario-front-and-the-development-of-terrorism-in-the-sahel For the past thirty-five years, the conflict surrounding the Western Sahara has disturbed North Africa and caused tension (...) Mon, 03 May 2010 13:26:47 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/le-front-polisario-et-le-developpement-du-terrorisme-au-sahel Depuis trente-cinq ans, le conflit autour du Sahara occidental agite l’Afrique du Nord et entretient les tensions (...) Mon, 03 May 2010 13:17:16 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/georgie-le-president-mikhal-saakachvili-plus-isole-que-jamais Samedi 13 mars 2010. 20 heures. Tbilissi. À l’heure où les chaînes de télévision diffusent leur traditionnel journal du soir (...) Wed, 21 Apr 2010 14:40:26 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/georgia-president-mikhail-saakashvili-more-isolated-than-ever Saturday, 13 March 2010. 8.00 pm. Tbilisi. At the time when the local television stations broadcast their traditional evening news (...) Wed, 21 Apr 2010 14:33:57 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/kabylie-repression-and-a-plan-for-autonomy Many demonstrations are expected to take place on 20 April 2010, in Algeria, most notably in Tizi-Ouzou, Vgayet and Bouira (...) Thu, 15 Apr 2010 14:47:57 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/la-kabylie-repression-et-projet-dautonomie Le 20 avril 2010, plusieurs manifestations sont prévues en Algérie, notamment à Tizi-Ouzou, Vgayet et Bouira afin de commémorer (...) Thu, 15 Apr 2010 14:44:35 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/central-asia-between-myths-and-realities-the-state-of-the-islamist-threat All during 2009, American strategy for Afghanistan and Pakistan, better known by the abbreviation Af-Pak, dominated (...) Mon, 22 Mar 2010 11:18:19 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/asie-centrale-entre-mythes-et-realites-letat-de-la-menace-islamiste Si tout au long de l’année 2009, la stratégie américaine pour l'Afghanistan et le Pakistan, plus connue sous le diminutif (...) Mon, 22 Mar 2010 11:13:53 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-islamic-republic-of-iran-a-challenge-to-stability-in-the-gulf One about-face follows another as the Islamic Republic of Iran re-shuffles the deck. Yesterday Mahmud Ahmadinejad played the card (...) Thu, 18 Feb 2010 11:25:36 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/la-republique-islamique-diran-un-defi-pour-la-stabilite-du-golfe De volte-face en volte-face, la République islamique d’Iran brouille les cartes. Un jour, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad joue l’apaisement (...) Thu, 18 Feb 2010 11:21:43 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/chile-under-sebastian-pinera-shifts-within-a-policy-of-continuity-and-really-innovative-aspirations On 11 March, Chile will have a new President of the Republic, Mr Sebastian Piñera Echenique. (...) Mon, 15 Feb 2010 11:33:37 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/le-chili-avec-m-sebastian-piera-des-changements-dans-la-continuite-et-une-reelle-ambition-novatrice Le 11 mars prochain, le Chili aura un nouveau président de la République en la personne de M. Sebastian Piñera Echenique. (...) Mon, 15 Feb 2010 11:30:02 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/at-the-border-of-pakistan-and-afghanistan-the-grand-game-against-terrorism 'It is a formidable challenge to turn the page in Afghanistan and in Pakistan. This can be achieved only through concerted national (...) Wed, 10 Feb 2010 11:39:44 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/aux-confins-du-pakistan-et-de-lafghanistan-le-grand-jeu-contre-le-terrorisme « Tourner la page en Afghanistan et au Pakistan est un formidable défi. Cela ne pourra être réalisé qu’à travers une action (...) Wed, 10 Feb 2010 11:36:51 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/kazakhstanosce-a-closely-watched-presidency On 30 November 2007, the annual OSCE Ministerial Council meeting held in Madrid took the historic decision to entrust its presidency (...) Sun, 24 Jan 2010 11:56:04 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/kazakhstanosce-une-presidence-sous-haute-surveillance Le 30 novembre 2007, la décision historique du Conseil annuel des ministres de l’OSCE, réuni à Madrid, de confier sa présidence (...) Sun, 24 Jan 2010 11:53:00 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/is-syria-undergoing-change During these past few years, and even more so during these past few months, the Syrian regime has engaged in a vast operation (...) Mon, 04 Jan 2010 11:50:27 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/la-syrie-est-elle-en-train-de-changer Ces dernières années, et plus encore ces derniers mois, le régime syrien s’est engagé dans une vaste opération de séduction (...) Mon, 04 Jan 2010 11:47:50 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/turkmenistan-gas-under-pressure In October 2008, an audit by the British company Gaffney, Cline and Associates - GCA propelled Turkmenistan to the rank (...) Mon, 21 Dec 2009 13:07:54 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/turkmenistan-le-gaz-sous-pressions En octobre 2008, un audit de la firme britannique Gaffney, Cline and Associates - GCA, propulsait le Turkménistan au deuxième rang mondial(...) Mon, 21 Dec 2009 13:03:51 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/armenia-the-turkish-deal-of-president-sarkissian It took a bit less that three years for the wish expressed in 2006 by Serge Sarkissian, at the time Defence Minister of Armenia (...) Thu, 19 Nov 2009 13:34:32 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/armenie-la-marche-turque-du-president-sarkissian Il aura fallu un peu moins de trois ans pour que le souhait exprimé, en 2006, par Serge Sarkissian, à l’époque ministre arménien (...) Thu, 19 Nov 2009 13:30:36 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/fort-hood-rampage-the-most-destructive-terrorist-act-committed-on-the-american-soil-since-09-11 Looking beyond the tragedy, the massacre at Fort Hood appears extremely interesting for any expert in terrorism (...) Mon, 09 Nov 2009 13:39:21 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/la-tuerie-de-fort-hood-lacte-terroriste-le-plus-grave-commis-aux-etats-unis-depuis-le-11-septembre-2001 Au-delà de la tragédie, l’affaire de Fort Hood apparaîtra comme extrêmement intéressante à tout expert du terrorisme (...) Mon, 09 Nov 2009 13:36:42 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/caspian-sea-the-headache-of-sharing-it-out Thu, 22 Oct 2009 13:43:31 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/les-cas-de-jacques-monsieur-de-lanl-australia-et-de-larctic-sea-un-eclairage-sur-la-strategie-dacquisition-darmes-de-teheran Au début du mois d’août, un porte containers australien, l’ANL AUSTRALIA était intercepté aux Emirats arabes unis (...) Tue, 08 Sep 2009 13:46:50 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-cases-of-jacques-monsieur-the-anl-australia-and-the-artic-sea-shedding-some-light-on-tehrans-strategy-of-arms-procurement At the beginning of the month of August, an Australian container ship, the ANL AUSTRALIA was intercepted in the United Arab Emirates(...) Tue, 08 Sep 2009 13:12:45 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/is-iranian-shiite-expansionism-a-threat-to-the-arab-countries On 6 March 2009, Rabat severed diplomatic relations with Tehran. This kind of measure is extremely grave and is taken (...) Wed, 08 Jul 2009 13:31:08 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/lexpansionnisme-chiite-iranien-une-menace-pour-les-pays-arabe Le 6 mars 2009, Rabat rompait ses relations diplomatiques avec Téhéran. Cette décision – d’une extrême gravité (...) Wed, 08 Jul 2009 13:16:51 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/peru-causes-for-concern In this beginning of the second part of his presidential term, Mr. Alan Garcia faces a difficult domestic situation (...) Tue, 07 Jul 2009 13:43:43 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/perou-motifs-dinquietude En ce début de seconde partie de mandat présidentiel, M. Alan Garcia se voit confronté à une situation interne difficile (...) Mon, 06 Jul 2009 13:41:07 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/legislative-elections-in-albania-any-change-in-prospect Albania is now officially integrated within NATO. Just a few weeks ago it put forward its candidacy for the European Union (...) Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:30:04 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/elections-legislatives-en-albanie-le-changement Récemment intégrée officiellement à l’OTAN, l’Albanie vient de déposer il y a quelques semaines sa candidature à l’Union européenne (...) Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:27:25 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-lebanese-elections-the-defeat-of-hezbollah-is-this-a-new-turn-of-events-for-the-land-of-cedars The Lebanese legislative elections held last week-end elicited great interest on the part of the electorate as we see from the high (...) Thu, 11 Jun 2009 14:36:01 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/elections-libanaises-defaite-du-hezbollah-un-nouveau-depart-pour-le-pays-du-cedre Les élections législatives libanaises du week-end dernier ont suscité un grand intérêt de l’électorat comme en témoigne le fort taux (...) Thu, 11 Jun 2009 14:32:25 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/asie-centrale-la-bataille-de-leau Trois réunions récentes ont placé au tout premier plan, tant au niveau mondial - le 5ème Forum mondial de l’eau (...) Mon, 25 May 2009 13:36:26 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/central-asia-the-battle-over-water Three recent gatherings have moved the issue of managing and sharing water resources to the very foreground of attention (...) Mon, 25 May 2009 00:00:00 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/tajikistan-the-weak-link After the terrible bloodshed of a civil war came to an end in 1997 having bled the country white, having claimed more than 50,000 lives (...) Tue, 21 Apr 2009 13:54:59 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/tadjikistan-le-maillon-faible Sorti exsangue, en 1997, d’une terrible guerre civile - plus de 50.000 morts en cinq ans et le dixième de sa population (...) Tue, 21 Apr 2009 13:48:35 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/binghamton-slaughter-could-it-be-an-al-qaeda-linked-attack At first sight, the Binghamton slaughter seemed to be a very “classical American tragedy" (...) Sat, 04 Apr 2009 13:57:33 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/central-asia-big-russian-manoeuvres Against a background of Russian-Western rivalries, struggles for influence to control the immense energy resources of Central Asia (...) Fri, 03 Apr 2009 14:07:13 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/aise-centrale-les-grandes-manoeuvres-russes Sur fond de rivalités russo-occidentales, de luttes d’influences pour le contrôle des immenses ressources énergétiques de l'Asie centrale (...) Thu, 02 Apr 2009 14:01:56 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/operation-plomb-durci-a-gaza-analyse-et-perspectives Le début de cette année 2009 a été marqué par une nouvelle secousse tellurique aux relents de soufre dans ce Moyen-Orient (...) Sun, 01 Mar 2009 14:11:08 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/operation-cast-lead-in-gaza-analysis-and-prospects The beginning of 2009 was marked by a new earth tremor and a stench of sulphur in the Middle East where violence has not ended by undermining our make-believe ideas (...) Sun, 01 Mar 2009 10:11:46 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/georgia-somber-prospects-for-2009 If 2009 seems likely to be a more delicate year due to the worldwide economic crisis touched off by the financial crisis (...) Tue, 24 Feb 2009 10:22:49 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/georgie-sombres-perspectives-pour-2009 Si 2009 s’annonce comme une année des plus délicates en raison de la crise économique mondiale engendrée par la crise financière (...) Tue, 24 Feb 2009 10:18:01 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-israeli-elections-kadima-has-carried-the-day-for-the-time-being-but-likud-is-winning-the-election Concerned as they are about the security situation, the Israelis were not very interested in these elections (...) Wed, 11 Feb 2009 10:39:03 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/elections-israeliennes-kadima-lemporte-provisoirement-mais-le-likoud-gagne-les-elections Les Israéliens – préoccupés par la situation sécuritaire – se sont désintéressés de ces élections (...) Wed, 11 Feb 2009 10:34:43 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/hamas-the-armed-wing-of-iran By winning the legislative elections of January 2006 and then taking control of the Gaza Strip during a bloody Putsch in June 2007 (...) Tue, 20 Jan 2009 10:54:19 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/le-hamas-bras-arme-de-liran En remportant les élections législatives de janvier 2006 puis en s’emparant de la bande de Gaza lors du putsch sanglant de juin 2007 (...) Tue, 20 Jan 2009 10:51:21 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/barack-obama-and-the-temptation-of-politicising-intelligence More than a month after having named the principal senior officials of his administration in charge of national security (...) Mon, 19 Jan 2009 11:00:28 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/barack-obama-et-la-tentation-de-la-politisation-du-renseignement Plus d’un mois après avoir désigné les principaux cadres de son administration en charge de la sécurité nationale (...) Mon, 19 Jan 2009 10:57:12 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-arab-media-and-the-arab-public-confront-the-gaza-crisis How are the Arab media dealing with the crisis in Gaza? To what extent is the Arab general public following the lead of its intellectuals? (...) Thu, 15 Jan 2009 10:46:04 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/les-medias-et-la-rue-arabe-face-a-la-crise-de-gaza Comment les médias arabes traitent-ils de la crise à Gaza ? Comment la « rue arabe » fait-elle écho à ses intellectuels ? (...) Thu, 15 Jan 2009 10:42:01 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-terrorist-threat-resulting-from-the-gaza-crisis-and-the-security-risk-in-the-medium-term It seems obvious to us that Operation ‘Cast Lead,’ which risks causing a great many casualties in the days to come (...) Tue, 06 Jan 2009 11:06:54 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/la-menace-terroriste-decoulant-de-la-crise-de-gaza-et-le-risque-securitaire-a-moyen-terme Il nous semble évident que l’opération « Plomb durci », dont le bilan humain risque fort de s’alourdir dans les jours à venir (...) Tue, 06 Jan 2009 11:03:52 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/gaza-the-inevitable-confrontation More than a week after the start of Operation ‘Cast Lead,’ an unprecedented confrontation between Hamas and the State of Israel (...) Sun, 04 Jan 2009 11:12:00 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/gaza-linevitable-confrontation Plus d’une semaine après le début de l’opération ’’Plomb durci’’, une confrontation sans précédent entre le Hamas et l’Etat d’Israël (...) Sun, 04 Jan 2009 11:09:40 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/albanie-ladoption-du-nouveau-code-electoral Le 17 novembre dernier, le parlement albanais adoptait le nouveau code électoral, inspiré par la réforme constitutionnelle initiée (...) Wed, 17 Dec 2008 15:58:32 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-dismantled-network-in-belgium-was-probably-aiming-to-target-the-european-presence-in-afghanistan The investigation that lead to the arrest of about fifteen people from jihadist networks in Belgium early on Thursday (...) Thu, 11 Dec 2008 16:17:18 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/le-reseau-demantele-en-belgique-visait-sans-doute-la-presence-europeenne-en-afghanistan L’enquête qui a abouti à une quinzaine d’interpellations dans la mouvance djihadiste, en Belgique, dans la matinée de ce jeudi 11 décembre (...) Thu, 11 Dec 2008 16:13:43 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/turkmenistan-the-october-revelation Saparmurad Niazov, the eccentric and grotesque Turkmenbashy who, from 1985 until his death in December 2006 reigned supreme over Turkmenistan (...) Mon, 08 Dec 2008 16:24:14 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/turkmenistan-la-revelation-doctobre Feu Saparmourad Niazov, l’excentrique et ubuesque Turkmenbachy qui, de 1985 à sa mort en décembre 2006, a régné sans partage (...) Mon, 08 Dec 2008 16:20:29 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/first-lessons-of-the-mumbai-carnage As these words are being written, on Friday morning, the situation in Mumbai remains extremely confused as operations are still underway (...) Fri, 28 Nov 2008 11:26:44 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/premiers-enseignements-de-la-tuerie-de-mumbai A l’heure où nous écrivons, ce vendredi matin, la situation reste extrêmement confuse à Mumbai où les opérations sont toujours en cours (...) Fri, 28 Nov 2008 11:19:43 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/le-phenomene-des-femmes-kamikazes La multiplication des attentats suicides, depuis quelques années, suscite bien des interrogations. Est-ce un phénomène nouveau ? (...) Thu, 06 Nov 2008 11:29:21 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/la-place-de-la-politique-etrangere-dans-le-duel-john-mccain-barack-obama Depuis le 11 septembre 2001, la sécurité et les intérêts nationaux n’ont jamais été autant au cœur du débat politique américain (...) Sun, 19 Oct 2008 12:22:30 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-place-of-foreign-policy-in-the-duel-between-john-mccain-and-barack-obama In 2000, during his first electoral campaign, George W. Bush defined an isolationist policy aiming at withdrawing American troops from the Balkans (...) Sun, 19 Oct 2008 11:48:42 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/albania-when-a-reform-of-the-electoral-code-weakens-democracy Nearly twenty years after the fall of Communism, the process of democratisation of Albania is once again under threat (...) Wed, 15 Oct 2008 12:29:46 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/albanie-quand-une-reforme-du-code-electoral-affaiblit-la-democratie Près de vingt ans après la chute du communisme, le processus de démocratisation de l’Albanie se trouve une nouvelle fois menacé (...) Wed, 15 Oct 2008 12:26:53 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/kazakhstan-a-tsar-is-born The disintegration of the Soviet empire in 1991 opened a new era with respect to international relations in Central Asia (...) Sun, 12 Oct 2008 13:41:15 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/kazakhstan-un-tsar-est-ne La désintégration de l’empire soviétique, en 1991, a ouvert une ère nouvelle en matière de relations internationales en Asie centrale (...) Sun, 12 Oct 2008 12:33:16 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/el-salvador-le-retour-des-comandantes-pour-bientot Alors qu’une bonne partie du monde suit avec attention la campagne présidentielle américaine, l’un des plus petits pays d’Amérique latine (...) Thu, 02 Oct 2008 13:50:25 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/el-salvador-will-the-comandantes-soon-be-returning While a good part of the world is closely following the American presidential election, the declaration by one of the smallest countries (...) Thu, 02 Oct 2008 13:45:02 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-front-polisario-a-destabilising-force-in-the-region-that-is-still-active More than thirty years after the departure of the last Spanish administrators, the conflict which disturbs the Western Sahara still has not been resolved (...) Wed, 01 Oct 2008 16:39:37 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/front-polisario-une-force-de-destabilisation-regionale-toujours-active Plus de trente ans après le départ des derniers administrateurs espagnols, le conflit qui agite le Sahara occidental n’a toujours pas été résolu (...) Wed, 01 Oct 2008 16:29:31 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/etats-unis-transition-presidentielle-et-implications-pour-la-securite-nationale-en-2008-2009 Avec l’investiture de John McCain et Barack Obama par leur parti respectif, s’ouvre une période, hautement sensible (...) Mon, 29 Sep 2008 13:56:32 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/united-states-presidential-transition-and-implications-for-national-security-in-2008-2009 With the nomination of John McCain and Barack Obama by their respective parties, there begins a highly sensitive period (...) Thu, 25 Sep 2008 14:00:09 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/georgia-assessment-of-a-disastrous-military-adventure On the evening of August 7, when the whole world was preparing to direct its attention to Beijing for the opening ceremony of the Summer Olympic Games (...) Wed, 24 Sep 2008 14:21:33 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/georgie-bilan-dune-desastreuse-aventure-militaire Le 7 août dernier au soir, alors que le monde entier s’apprêtait à tourner les yeux vers Pékin pour la cérémonie d’ouverture (...) Wed, 24 Sep 2008 14:08:11 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/obamas-foreign-policy-a-forward-looking-analysis According to many observers the Democratic presidential contender seems to act, on the foreign front, as if he is already in office (...) Tue, 16 Sep 2008 12:42:20 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/ouzbekistan-oublier-andijan Le 13 mai dernier marquait le troisième anniversaire de la sanglante répression des émeutes d’Andijan, une ville d’Ouzbékistan (...) Fri, 18 Jul 2008 13:21:10 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/uzbekistan-shall-we-forget-andijan May 13 marked the third anniversary of the bloody repression of riots in Andijan, a city in Uzbekistan nestled in the FerghanaValley (...) Fri, 18 Jul 2008 13:18:05 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/canadas-new-geopolitics-when-a-green-country-becomes-a-petroleum-country Canada has always projected an image of a green country with vast open spaces and with politicians supporting the environment (...) Wed, 02 Jul 2008 13:56:19 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/la-nouvelle-geopolitique-du-canada-quand-un-pays-vert-devient-un-pays-petrolier Le Canada a toujours véhiculé une image de pays vert avec de grands espaces et des politiques volontaristes en matière d’environnement (...) Tue, 24 Jun 2008 13:25:17 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/georgian-legislative-elections-saakashvilis-grand-slam For the second time in less than five months, the Georgians went to the polling stations on May 21. (...) Sun, 01 Jun 2008 14:05:39 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/elections-legislatives-georgiennes-le-grand-chelem-de-saakachvili Pour la deuxième fois en moins de cinq mois, les Géorgiens se sont rendus aux urnes le 21 mai dernier. (...) Sun, 01 Jun 2008 14:02:02 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/paraguay-fernando-lugo-from-good-pastor-to-populist-caudillo The general elections of April 20 will no doubt be considered as historic in modern Paraguay (...) Thu, 15 May 2008 14:14:14 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/paraguay-fernando-lugo-du-bon-pasteur-au-caudillo-populiste Les élections générales du 20 avril dernier mériteront sans doute le qualificatif d’historiques dans l’histoire moderne du Paraguay (...) Thu, 15 May 2008 14:09:55 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/tajikistan-caught-in-a-downward-spiral The food crisis that is hitting directly forty or more countries around the world and which recently has been featured in the international media (...) Mon, 12 May 2008 14:24:45 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/tadjikistan-dans-la-spirale-infernale La crise alimentaire qui frappe de plein fouet une quarantaine de pays dans le monde, et qui fait depuis peu la une de nombreux médias (...) Mon, 12 May 2008 14:20:49 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-next-challenge-in-iraq-countering-irans-growing-influence General David Petraeus's presentation to Congress on Monday, April 7th, was supposed to offer US lawmakers compelling evidence (...) Fri, 11 Apr 2008 14:46:06 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/le-prochain-defi-en-irak-dejouer-linfluence-de-plus-en-plus-marquee-de-liran La présentation du Général David Petraeus devant le Congrès, le lundi 7 avril, était supposée apporter aux législateurs américains (...) Fri, 11 Apr 2008 14:29:10 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/armenie-le-douloureux-et-difficile-apprentissage-de-la-democratie Le syndrome des révolutions de couleur dans le Caucase du sud et en Asie centrale serait-il contagieux ? (...) Mon, 07 Apr 2008 12:30:37 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/learnings-from-the-departure-of-admiral-fallon-from-the-central-command On Tuesday, March 11, Admiral William ‘Fox’ Fallon relinquished his duties as Chief of the U.S. Central Command (...) Tue, 01 Apr 2008 12:42:58 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/les-enseignements-du-depart-de-lamiral-fallon-du-commandement-central Mardi 11 mars, l’amiral William « Fox » Fallon démissionnait de ses fonctions de chef du Commandement central (...) Tue, 01 Apr 2008 12:34:38 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/tibet-the-last-revolt The anniversary of the riots in Lhassa of 1959 and of the departure in exile of the Dalai Lama has been marked by an uprising of the Tibetan Opposition (...) Fri, 28 Mar 2008 12:54:08 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/tibet-la-derniere-revolte L’anniversaire des émeutes de Lhassa de 1959 et du départ en exil du Dalaï Lama est marqué par un soulèvement des opposants tibétains (...) Fri, 28 Mar 2008 12:49:27 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/will-turkmenistan-continue-to-open-up-to-the-outside-world On March 10 and 11, the President of Turkmenistan, Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov, made a state visit to Uzbekistan (...) Tue, 25 Mar 2008 13:01:01 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/le-turkmenistan-va-t-il-confirmer-son-ouverture-internationale Les 10 et 11 mars derniers, le président turkmène, Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov, a effectué une visite d’Etat en Ouzbékistan (...) Tue, 25 Mar 2008 12:58:30 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-shanghai-cooperation-organization-is-it-a-paper-tiger-or-the-birth-od-a-dragon It would appear that the annual summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (OCS) last year in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan on August 16 (...) Thu, 20 Mar 2008 13:11:26 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/lorganisation-de-cooperation-de-shanghai-tigre-de-papier-ou-naissance-dun-dragon Le sommet annuel de l’Organisation de Coopération de Shanghai - OCS - (Shanghai Cooperation Organization - SCO), le 16 août dernier à Bichkek au Kirghizstan (...) Thu, 20 Mar 2008 13:03:59 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/winograd-revelateur-dun-desengagemnt-democratique-et-dun-effritement-de-letat-nation Le 30 janvier dernier, la commission Winograd a remis au gouvernement israélien son rapport final (...) Mon, 17 Mar 2008 13:15:40 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/women-a-bulwark-against-extremism-and-fundamentalism-the-example-of-tunisia Tue, 04 Mar 2008 13:27:09 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/la-femme-rempart-contre-lextremisme-et-lintegrisme-lexemple-de-la-tunisie Le monde musulman est en proie, depuis des années, à une maladie qui menace de l’isoler, d’en faire un objet de répulsion pour le reste de l’humanité (...) Tue, 04 Mar 2008 13:22:12 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/independence-of-kosovo-does-it-set-a-dangerous-precedent Broadcast live on February 17 by most of the Western television channels, we watched the joy mixed with pride and the communion of a people celebrating an independence that was so much desired for so long (...) Thu, 28 Feb 2008 12:17:02 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/can-president-musharraf-survive-the-election-results-of-february-18-politically On February 18, Pakistan held the ninth general elections in its history. Due to the political and security crisis which rocked the country, this vote took on considerable importance (...) Tue, 26 Feb 2008 12:25:10 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/le-president-musharraf-peut-il-survivre-politiquement-aux-resultats Le 18 février dernier, le Pakistan organisait les neuvièmes élections générales de son histoire. Du fait de la crise politique et sécuritaire qui secoue le pays, ce scrutin a revêtu une importance considérable (...) Tue, 26 Feb 2008 12:21:30 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/the-accession-to-power-of-lee-myung-bak-heralds-a-renewal-of-the-american-korean-alliance On February 25, President Elect Lee Myung-bak will be officially inaugurated as South Korea’s head of state, taking over from President Roh Moo-hyun (...) Mon, 18 Feb 2008 12:34:33 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/larrivee-au-pouvoir-de-lee-myung-bak-annonce-un-renouveau-de-lalliance-americano-coreenne Le 25 février prochain, le président élu Lee Myung-bak sera officiellement investi à la tête de l’État sud-coréen, succédant ainsi au président Roh Moo-hyun (...) Fri, 15 Feb 2008 12:29:13 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/iran-at-the-centre-of-george-w-bushs-visit-to-the-middle-east By visiting a region which has been unquestionably altered by his tenure in office, President George W. Bush has demonstrated once again the growing importance of the Middle East for the United States and its security (...) Wed, 13 Feb 2008 11:51:58 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/liran-au-centre-de-la-visite-de-george-w-bush-au-moyen-orient En se rendant dans une région qui aura incontestablement marqué son mandat, le président George W. Bush a démontré une nouvelle fois l’importance croissante du Moyen-Orient pour les Etats-Unis et leur sécurité (...) Wed, 13 Feb 2008 11:45:03 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/does-the-end-of-the-cease-fire-leave-any-prospect-for-peace-in-sri-lanka On Wednesday, January 2, the Sri Lanka government renounced the cease-fire agreement concluded on February 22, 2002 with the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE)(...) Mon, 11 Feb 2008 12:00:55 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/la-fin-du-cessez-le-feu-laisse-t-elle-encore-une-perspective-de-paix-au-sri-lanka Le mercredi 2 janvier dernier, le gouvernement sri-lankais dénonçait l’accord de cessez-le-feu conclu le 22 février 2002 avec les Tigres de libération de l’Eelam Tamoul (Liberation Tigers of tamil Eelam - LTTE) (...) Mon, 11 Feb 2008 11:55:12 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/what-terrorist-menace-in-east-africa The Black Continent, which has been a priori marginalised in world affairs, assumes a strategic interest in the matter of the struggle against terrorism (...) Thu, 31 Jan 2008 12:10:44 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/quelle-menace-terroriste-en-afrique-de-lest Le continent noir, a priori marginalisé du monde, revêt un intérêt stratégique en ce qui concerne la lutte contre le terrorisme (...) Thu, 31 Jan 2008 12:06:04 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/after-annapolis-what-is-syrias-role-in-the-middle-east The international community has the feeling that Syria is an isolated country, because it never participated in the informal international conferences on the Middle East (...) Wed, 23 Jan 2008 12:21:21 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/apres-annapolis-quel-role-pour-la-syrie-au-moyen-orient La communauté internationale a le sentiment que la Syrie est un pays isolé, car cette dernière n’a jamais participé aux conférences internationales informelles sur le Moyen-Orient(...) Wed, 23 Jan 2008 12:17:01 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/turkmenistan-year-one-of-the-post-niazov-era Though it was 10 days in advance of the official calendar, very likely the date December 21, 2006 will long remain the symbolic point of beginning of the year 2007 in Turkmenistan(...) Mon, 21 Jan 2008 12:36:24 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/turkmenistan-lan-1-de-lapres-niazov C’est très vraisemblablement la date du 21 décembre 2006 qui restera, avec 10 jours d’avance sur le calendrier officiel, comme le point de départ symbolique de l’année 2007 au Turkménistan (...) Mon, 21 Jan 2008 12:25:54 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/do-recent-changes-in-russias-military-machine-spell-the-countrys-return-as-a-major-power In the course of his annual three-hour televised encounter with his Russian compatriots on October 18, Vladimir Putin took his time dealing with questions of defence (...) Wed, 09 Jan 2008 13:41:47 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/evolution-de-loutil-militaire-russe-un-regain-de-puissance Au cours de son rendez-vous télévisé annuel de trois heures avec les Russes, le 18 octobre dernier, Vladimir Poutine s’est attardé sur les questions de Défense (...) Wed, 09 Jan 2008 12:40:35 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/georgia-deciphering-an-election-that-has-already-been-contested Without surprise, late in the evening of January 5, first estimations of the results of the early Presidential election announced by the Georgian institutions based on exit polls suggested that Mikhail Saakashvili will be victorious (...) Mon, 07 Jan 2008 13:48:55 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/georgie-decrypyage-dune-election-deja-contestee Sans surprise, tard dans la soirée du 5 janvier, les premières estimations du résultat de l’élection présidentielle anticipée, annoncées par les instituts sur la base des sondages sortie des urnes, laissaient entrevoir la victoire de Mikhaïl Saakachvili (...) Mon, 07 Jan 2008 13:45:45 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/us-election-watch-the-significance-of-the-iowa-primary As we observe the outcome of the Iowa Caucus, which surprised many observers by putting presidential candidates Barak Obama and Mike Huckabee in the lead of their respective parties, here are some key considerations (...) Fri, 04 Jan 2008 14:03:08 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/u-s-election-watch-les-leons-des-primaires-de-liowa la lumière du résultat des caucus de l’Iowa, qui ont surpris nombre d’observateurs en plaçant les candidats Barak Obama et Mike Huckabee en tête de leur parti respectif, voici quelques considérations majeures pour étayer notre analyse (...) Fri, 04 Jan 2008 13:58:35 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/iran-what-credit-should-one-accord-to-the-about-face-in-american-intelligence By stating that Iran ended its military nuclear programme in 2003, the National Intelligence Estimate (NIE)the main conclusions of which were published at the end of November, marked a spectacular about-face in the evaluation of the Iranian threat by the American intelligence agencies (...) Fri, 04 Jan 2008 13:54:41 GMT https://www.esisc.org/publications/analyses/iran-quel-credit-doit-on-accorder-au-revirement-du-renseignement-americain En affirmant que l’Iran avait mis un terme à son programme nucléaire militaire en 2003, la National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) dont les principales conclusions ont été publiées à la fin du mois de novembre marque un revirement spectaculaire dans l’évaluation de la menace iranienne par les agences de renseignement américaines (...) Fri, 04 Jan 2008 13:51:51 GMT