Briefings 21 to 40

President Maduro isolates himself domestically and internationally amidst rising civil unrest
Since the beginning of April, Venezuela has been rocked by violent protests that have resulted in the death of at least 39 people and the arrests of over 1500 demonstrators and opposition activists. The brutality of the demonstrations and anti-riot police response has been condemned nationally and internationally, with experts and politicians calling into question the stability of the country’s democracy. Opposition activists are denouncing the executive and judiciary government branches’ overreach. While Venezuela’s unrest is not recent, a decision by the Supreme Court to adopt the National Assembly’s jurisdiction in giving President Maduro extended executive powers sparked a wave of dissent throughout the country which has not been subdued by the subsequent reversal the order.
Erdoğan’s months of long knives on the way to the Turkish constitutional referendum
In the last months the Turkish regime has carried out a strategy of silencing the “No” referendum campaigners axed on five targets (political opposition, Kurds, media, intellectuals and security agencies) to pave the way towards a strengthened authoritarian rule.
The clock is ticking for Turkish secularization and EU membership
Turkey is heading towards a controversial referendum on constitutional changes that will concentrate powers in the office of Presidency. If passed, the reform would lead to an authoritarian shift in the country that would sweep away the Kemalist Revolution and strain the relationships with the EU and NATO in a heartbeat.
Recent ship hijackings by Somali pirates illustrate a new increase of piracy threat in the Gulf of Aden
On March 13 and March 24, 2017, 2 ship hijackings took place in Somali waters. These incidents highlighted the re-emergence of the piracy threat in the Gulf of Aden after a period of relative stability in the area. While the presence of international and regional naval forces has defused the piracy threat to a large extent since its peak in 2011, the phenomenon is far from being mitigated and the new increase in the Somali pirates’ activity has been observed particularly for the last 2 years.
Is Germany a modern Atlas capable of holding up the task of giving the refugees a job?
Since the outburst of the refugee crisis, few EU member states have been on the front line in the rescue and reception of asylum seekers. The next challenge ahead for the destination countries is represented by the integration of the immigrants into the national labour markets.
Can the Caterpillar of the new Syrian Constitution become a butterfly?
The last significant step in Syria’s thorny path towards the end of the conflict that has devastated the country for the last six years was the peace talks held last February in Astana, Kazakhstan, which welcomed representatives from the Syrian government, the opposition and envoys from Iran, Russia and Turkey, the three major foreign powers leading the negotiations with UN assent.
The myth of tolerant Europe is written on a blank page
During the last Munich Security Conference, held in the Bavarian capital on February 17-19, 2017, Angela Merkel delivered a long statement on the European challenges and priorities. Among the several vectors of domestic and foreign policy that were announced, the Chancellor reiterated the policy of welcoming the immigrants inside German and EU borders. Although the intent to foster the European Union’s allegedly inner desire to become the unwavering supporter of tolerance, compassion and freedom worldwide is noble, some facts contradict the narrative telling the citizens that the hospitality of the immigrants is happening peacefully. And more than ever, the migrant issue is a “hot topic” nourishing the rise of populism in Europe. Thus, it must be “handled with care”….
Reina nighclub attack reveals high reactivity of Islamic State to adapt operation methods to changing security environment
The arrest of the Reina nightclub shooter by Turkish police on January 16 and the latest results of the ongoing investigation, made public by Turkish media, confirm that the attack was not an act of a lone jihadist, but the result of coordination between the Turkish IS terror network and the operational centre in Syria.
Successive prison riots point to systemic failures of penitentiary system in Brazil and the war for drug trade monopoly
Since the beginning of 2017, 123 inmates have been killed in 5 separate prison riots across Brazil. These incidents highlighted the systemic failure of a penitentiary system that is overcrowded and under-secured. As Brazil’s incarceration rate remains high and the construction of new prisons is straggling, penitentiary centers are often more than 50% above capacity and without appropriate staffing or security measures updates.
US security institutions warn of possible lone wolf attacks in Europe during holiday season
On November 21, the United States Department of State published a travel alert, warning US citizens of the heightened risk of terror attacks throughout Europe during the upcoming holiday season. This alert, set to expire in February 2017, was not unique in and of itself; in recent years, State Department has published numerous travel alerts for its citizens wishing to travel to Europe.
Analysis of Impact of pro-IS groups in North Africa on Spain
Spain today is one of the European countries with a relatively low number of jihadist foreign fighters in Syria and Iraq. Meanwhile, the Islamist terrorist threat remains present in the country and security experts consider that it can be originated from several fronts: those foreign fighters who may return from international jihad zones unnoticed by authorities and possibly interested in perpetrating attacks (as in the cases of the November 2015 Paris attacks), lone-wolves inspired by the IS ideology (as in the case of the 2016 Nice attack), or even foreign fighters who leave Syria or Iraq for a different country.
Escalation of terrorist attacks in Mali demonstrates growing expansion of Ansar Dine
The recent escalation of terrorist attacks carried out by Ansar Dine including the deadliest attack targeting military forces in Nampala and the first kidnapping of 5 Malian soldiers, show that the Mali-based terrorist group is significantly reinforcing its positions and gaining further legitimacy in the country.
Colombia: The Peace accord referendum, a dilemma between the cost of war and the price of peace
On October 2, Colombians will vote in a national referendum whether to accept and support the peace accord reached by the government of President Juan Manuel Santos and the FARC guerrilla.
Appointment of the new Taliban leader may open the way to the return of Al Qaeda in Afghanistan
The latest developments in Afghanistan demonstrate not only the negative perspectives for national security but also trigger fears about a possible return to a situation similar to that before 9/11. In fact, despite the killing of the Taliban leader Mullah Akhtar Mansour, the new Taliban leadership is likely to provide unity to the insurgency. Furthermore, the increasing bonds between Taliban and Al-Qaeda could be harbinger of a return of the terrorist organization founded by Osama bin Laden to Afghanistan.
Orlando: Winning 'DIY' terrorism strategy is applied by Islamic State
On the night between June 12 and June 13, at least 50 people were killed and 53 more injured in a shooting, carried out by a lone attacker against a night club of the LGBT community in Orlando, Florida. The man, who claimed his allegiance to Islamic State, was shot dead by police. The first elements on the incident allow to draw a provisory profile of the man responsible for the worst mass shooting in US history and the deadliest terror attack committed on US soil since September 11, 2001. The attack, claimed by the Islamic State, will for sure have an impact on the "positioning" of the United States in the Syrian crisis.
Orlando : la stratégie gagnante du do-it-yourself du terrorisme appliquée par l’Etat Islamique
Dans la nuit du samedi 12 au dimanche 13 juin, au moins 50 personnes ont été tuées et 53 trois autres blessées lorsqu’un homme a ouvert le feu dans une boite de nuit de la communauté LGBT de Orlando, en Floride. L’homme, qui s’est revendiqué de l’Etat Islamique, a finalement été abattu par la police. Les premiers éléments disponibles permettent de dresser un profil provisoire de l’homme responsable de la pire tuerie de masse de toute l’histoire américaine et du plus grave attentat commis sur le sol américain depuis le 11 septembre 2001, et de souligner la responsabilité de l’E.I. dans une action qui aura, n’en doutons pas, des conséquences sur le « positionnement » des Etats-Unis dans la crise syrienne.
A strange case in Kiev
A strange case that took place this week in Ukraine triggers concerns over a possible "manipulation" from security services. On Monday, June 6, Vassil Grytsak, the head of the SBU (Sluzhba Bezpeky Oukrayiny), the Ukrainian domestic security and intelligence service, announced the arrest of "Gregoire M", a French national found in possession of an impressive arsenal and who allegedly plotted to commit 15 attacks (no less!) in France before and during the Euro 2016 competition. Among the potential targets of the attacks would be mosques, synagogues and public buildings.
Une étrange affaire à Kiev
C’est une étrange affaire, aux forts relents de « manip » des services, qui vient d’éclater en Ukraine. Lundi M. Vassil Grytsak, chef du SBU (Sloujba Bezpeky Oukrayiny), le service de sécurité et de renseignement intérieur ukrainien, annonçait l’arrestation d’un certain « Gregoire M », ressortissant français trouvé en possession d’un arsenal impressionnant et qui aurait projeté de commettre une quinzaine d’attentats (pas moins !) en France avant et durant l’Euro 2016. Ses cibles : des mosquées, des synagogues et des bâtiments publics.
Rise of new rebel groups, backed by local ethnic and separatist movements risk to transform oil-producing Niger Delta regions into a hotbed of insurgency
Since Goodluck Jonathan, the first president from the Niger Delta region, lost re-election in March 2015, and even more since the beginning of the year, the steady raise of violence in Nigeria’s southeast already demonstrated a new alarming trend for regional security. Following the latest attacks in the Niger Delta regions claimed by the newly-emerged Niger Delta Avengers group, this alarming trend has now reached a defining moment marking the revival of Niger Delta insurgency that risk to divert foreign investors from the region.
Competition with Islamic State pushes AQIM to expand south of the Sahel with a series of high profile attacks
While Islamic State now holds the upper hand in the Middle East, Al-Qaeda maintains an advantage in Africa. Al-Qaeda’s position, however, has recently been threatened, with IS making significant efforts to expand deeper into the African continent. Over the last three years, there has been an increase in the number of loyal Islamic State cells operating in Somalia, Libya, Nigeria and even Tanzania.
Briefings 40-60 »


Abu Sayyaf Afghanistan Alberto Caballero Algeria Alicia Jensen Al-Qaeda anarchist Andre Burstin Ansar Al-Islam Ansar Bait Al-Maqdis Ansar Dine Ansarullah anti-Balaka AQIM AQIS AQMI Argentine Arthur de Liedekerke Australia Axelle Vandendriessche Azerbaijan Bangladesh Belgique Belgium BIFF Blaise Ortiz Boko Haram Brazil Burkina Faso Burundi Cadente Copper Cameroon Canada CAR Central African Republic Central Asia Chili China civil unrest civil war Claude Moniquet Colombia Compaoré Coree Cosa Nostra coup Defence Denmark Di Natala Diplomacy Dos Santos DRC drones drugs Egypt Egypte Eliska Puckova ELSE energy ESISC Etat Islamique Etats Unis Ethiopia ETIM Europe European Union Evgenia Gvozdeva Extremism FARC far-right Finland Foteini Fragkou France Genovefa Etienne Germany green economy Guerrero hacking Human Rights India Insurgency Intelligence Iran Iraq Islamic State Islamism Israel Italy Japan jihad Kashmir Kazakhstan Kieran Doyle Korea Koweit Lashkar-e-Taiba Lazarevic Leah Kazar Leandro Di Natala Lebanon l'Etat Islamique Lhoussain Azergui Liban Libya Loucheur Louise Schabelmann Mali Mapuche Mattia Caniglia Mexico migrants MILF Mohamed Fahmi Morocco Morsi NATO Nieto Nigeria North Africa nucleaire Olivia de Fouchier Olivier Loucheur Olympic Games Organised crime Pakistan Palestinian territories Paris Pauline Ravillard Peru Petrobras Philippines Pierre-Alexis Quenot piracy Pluspetrol Political risk Politics Post-Soviet Countries President Pierre Nkurunziza protests Qatar Rachel Larned Raphaël Ramos Rauf Tuzun refugees Russia Rwanda Sahel Sarah Baudinet Saudi Arabia sectarian violence Seleka shipping Sinai Solene Jomier Solène Metais Somali state Somalia South Africa Spain Stefano Sarsale Sudan Suez Canal Sweden Syria Syrie Tajikistan Taliban Terrorism terrorisme terrorist terrorists Tia Maria project Tunisia Tunisie Turkey Ukraine United Kingdom United Nations United States Uyghur Uyghur Muslims Venezuela video Vietnam waterway William Racimora Xinjiang Yeme Yemen Yuliana Lefevre
© 2012 ESISC - European Strategic Intelligence and Security Center Powered by Advensys