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21/05/2015
Russia: Islamic State vs Al Qaeda; Deepening crisis in Imarat Kavkaz contributes to the reinforcement of IS positions in post-Soviet space
The security developments of the past months in Northern Caucasus indicate two main trends: 1. The clear weakening of the positions of Al-Qaeda-linked Imarat Kavkaz and 2. The reinforcing positions of the Islamic State. Indeed, a recent string of counter-terrorism operations in Northern Caucasus, that resulted in the killing of numerous senior terrorist members of Imarat Kavkaz including the Emir Mukhammad, who succeeded Doku Umarov after his death, put the group in situation of harsh competition with the Islamic State who is increasing its presence in Russia.
08/05/2015
Tanzania/Kenya: New Al-Qaeda-linked terrorist group "Al-Muhajiroun in East Africa" issues threat against western targets
In a statement, posted online on May 4, a recently created Al-Qaeda-linked terrorist group named 'Al-Muhajiroun in East Africa' threatened to carry out attacks against western interests in the region, accusing UN forces of 'encouraging repressions against Muslims'. The group also threatened to carry out attacks against targets in Tanzania, Uganda and Kenya. The latest statement, that was published the same day as when a Tanzanian convoy was attacked by ADF rebels in North Kivu province in Democratic Republic of Congo, raises concerns over the threat presented by the new Al-Qaeda offspring in East Africa.
24/09/2014
Nigeria: Boko Haram and the threat of a new “caliphate”
While the United States are fighting, with an international coalition, the so-called Islamic State terrorist group in Iraq and Syria, Boko Haram, the Nigerian jihadist group, is now directly threatening one of Nigeria’s main cities. This insurgency is holding territory after a series of victories against the Nigerian army and the proclamation, last month, of a “caliphate”. Despite the international outrage provoked by the kidnapping of more than 200 girls from a school in April 2014 and the declaration of the state of emergency since May 2013 in the states of Borno, Yobe and Adamawa, the terrorist group continues to gain ground.
06/02/2014
Sochi: high threats but low risk
The security paradox of Winter Olympic Games in Sochi is obvious to any observer of the Russian scene and to every security analysts: the threat level is very high...
06/02/2014
Sotchi : menaces élevées mais risques faibles
Le paradoxe sécuritaire des Jeux olympiques d’hiver à Sotchi est évident pour tout observateur de la scène russe et pour tout analyste de la sécurité : le niveau des menaces est très élevé ...
05/10/2013
Remarks on the second interim report of the OSCE/ODIHR
The European Strategic Intelligence and Security Center continues today its analysis of the political situation in Azerbaijan at the eve of the Presidential elections of October 9 (...)
23/09/2013
Remarks on the first interim report of the OSCE/ODIHR
In recent years the European Strategic Intelligence and Security Center (ESISC) follows with great attention the political situation in the Republic of Azerbaijan. In many aspects, the present and the future of the country is of great interest for the political and economic actors of the Western countries.
09/09/2013
The Republic of Azerbaijan: A model of good governance
On October 9 2013, 4,9 millions of Azeri voters will go to the polls to elect their president and determine the future direction of their old but relatively recent independent nation.
29/04/2013
Al Shabaab on Twitter. The use of internet by Jihadist organizations
At the beginning of February Somalia's Al-Qaeda linked Al-Shabaab insurgents have returned to Twitter with a new account, after they were suspended because using twitter to post a photographs of a French they had killed. [...]
21/01/2013
The Obama administration's reshuffle and centre of gravity in foreign policy
President Barack Obama’s second term in office, which will officially begin on 21 January 2013, offers him the unprecedented opportunity to reshuffle his team in charge of foreign policy and national security.
21/01/2013
Remaniement et centre de gravité de l'administration en politique étrangère
Le second mandat du président Barack Obama, qui a officiellement débuté le 20 janvier 2013, lui offre une occasion sans précédent de remanier son équipe en charge de la politique étrangère et de sécurité nationale.
17/01/2013
The Armenian Job
The role of the Armenian lobby in the pattern of enmity in South Caucasus.
17/01/2013
The Armenian-Iran Relationship
Strategic implication for security in the South Caucasus Region.
19/10/2012
American presidential elections 2012: What would a second term in office of president Obama mean for foreign policy?
In American politics, a president’s second term is generally perceived as offering an opportunity to assert oneself in the domain of foreign policy and, thereby, to make one’s mark on history.
19/10/2012
Presidentielle americaine 2012: Quelles perspectives pour un second mandat du president Obama en matiere de politique etrangere?
En politique américaine, le second mandat présidentiel est généralement perçu comme offrant à son titulaire une opportunité de s’affirmer dans le domaine de la politique étrangère et, par ce biais, d’entrer dans l’histoire. (...)
04/10/2012
Israel-Iran, a war in the making
Following several weeks of rising tension between Israel and Iran, feelings are running high. Jerusalem is threatening to deliver (...)
04/10/2012
Israël-Iran, une guerre attendue
Depuis quelques semaines, la tension entre Israël et l’Iran est à son comble. Jérusalem agite la menace d’une frappe préventive (...)
25/06/2012
American presidential elections 2012: Mitt Romney’s foreign policy
Following the recent withdrawals from the Republican primaries of Messrs Gingrich and Paul, as well as his victory in Texas (...)
25/06/2012
Présidentielle américaine 2012: la politique étrangère de Mitt Romney
Avec les récents retraits de MM. Gingrich et Paul de la primaire républicaine ainsi que sa victoire dans le Texas (...)
02/05/2012
Urban violence: status report
In 1950, 30% of the world’s total population lived in cities. Now more than half of the population resides in urban areas (...)
Analyses 40-60 »

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Afghanistan Alain Porchet Albania Algeria Alicia Jensen Almaty Al-Muhajiroun in East Africa Al-Qaeda Andre Burstin Armenia Astana Austria Azerbaijan Belgique Belgium Boko Haram Bosnia-Herzegovina Brazil Canada Chile China Cisjordania civil unrest Claude Moniquet Constantinos Prevelakis Crime organisé CSDP Dahiya Defence Dimitri Dombret Diplomacy Egypte El Salvador Election Emmanuel Dubois Ethiopia EU Europe European Defence European Defence Fund European Union Evgenia Gvozdeva Extremism Fabrice Corbera Far-Right Fatima Hassanova FIAN Foteini Fragkou France Gaza Genovefa Etienne Georgia Germany GiletsJaunes gun violence Hamas Hezbollah Human Rights Imarat Kavkaz India Ingrid Belottini Insurgency Intelligence Iqbal Al Gharbi Iran Iraq Islamic State Islamism Israel Jean-Paul Huste Julian Richards Kabylie Karim Massimov Kassim-Jormart Tokayev Kazakhstan Kenya Kieran Doyle Kirghizstan Kosovo Kyrgyzstan Lebanon Lhoussain Azergui Mexico Michael Soussan Morocco NATO Netherlands Nigeria North Caucasus Nursultan Nazarbayev Organised crime Otan Pakistan Palestinian territories Paraguay Patrick Esteve Peru Pierre Arnold Political risk Politics Radicalisation Raphael Ramos Renaud François Right-Wing Extremism Riots Roberto de Primis Russia Russie Security Serbia shooting social media Somalia South Caucasus South Korea Sri Lanka Sudan Syria Tajikistan Tanzania Terrorism Tsahal Tunisia Turkey Turkmenistan Ukraine United States Uzbekistan Vladimir Poutine Vladimir Putin White Supremacists William Racimora

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