Analyses 1 to 20

Next Sunday, 20 November 2022, the Kazakhs will go to the polls to elect their next president. In normal circumstances, this election in a remote Central Asian country would probably be of little interest to a European audience. However, the European Union - and several capitals - will have their eyes on this huge country. Indeed, the election is taking place in a dual context: that of the modernisations and democratisation sought by President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev following the serious unrest of last January, and that of the war in Ukraine and the European break with Moscow, which is forcing Brussels to seek new energy partners to replace the Russian one.
Dimanche prochain, le 20 novembre 2022, les Kazakhs se rendront aux urnes pour élire leur prochain président. En temps normal, cette élection, dans un lointain pays d’Asie centrale, intéresserait probablement fort peu un public européen. Pourtant, l’Union européenne – et plusieurs capitales – auront les yeux braqués sur cet immense pays. En effet, l’élection se déroule dans un double contexte : celui des modernisations et de la démocratisation voulues par le président Kassym-Jomart Tokaïev à la suite des graves troubles de janvier dernier et celui de la guerre en Ukraine et de la rupture européenne avec Moscou qui force Bruxelles à rechercher de nouveaux partenaires énergétiques pour remplacer le partenaire russe.
Why Vladimir Putin has already lost in Ukraine
Vladimir Putin's ill-considered military adventure will have various consequences and its repercussions will be spread out over the years to come, profoundly modifying the European and therefore the world strategic landscape. But I am already certain of one thing: it will mean the end of Vladimir Putin.
Pourquoi Vladimir Poutine a déjà perdu en Ukraine
L’aventure militaire irréfléchie de Vladimir Poutine aura des conséquences diverses et ses répercussions s’étaleront sur les années à venir, modifiant en profondeur le paysage stratégique européen et donc mondial. Mais j’ai d’ores et déjà une certitude : elle signera la fin de Vladimir Poutine.
The Risk of Terrorist Actions and Intelligence Operations of the Iranian “Security” Apparatus against the Iranian Opposition in Exile in 2022
The Rise of the Right-Wing Violent Extremism Threat in Germany and its Transnational Character
The recent attacks in Hanau and Halle demonstrate that a challenge previously thought to be predominantly local is acquiring a transnational character, spreading from Canada to Australia and from the US to Europe
The EU between strategic autonomy and the transatlantic relationship
Josep Borrell, the EU’s top foreign policy official, recently declared that if Europeans want to avoid being squeezed into insignificance by great powers who are mercilessly engaging in realpolitik while using Europe as a chessboard, then they must “learn to use the language of power” and be ready to implement all the necessary measures to make the European Union (EU) a more strategically autonomous security player. While the EU seems to be motivated to strengthen its strategic autonomy, this will require more attention to designing EU defence and security cooperation initiatives, so that they strengthen both European and transatlantic security also considering the problems experienced today by the North Atlantic Alliance.
The European Defence Fund
In recent years, the European Union (EU) has had to deal with increasingly challenging security threats, ranging from growing armed conflicts in the European neighbourhood, Russia's increasingly aggressive posture, a worsening situation in the Middle East and North Africa and Trump's intimations of renewed US isolationism; there are also 'hybrid' threats such as the rise of terrorism and violent extremism, potential cyber-attacks against vital EU infra-structure and disinformation campaigns aimed at destabilising member countries political environments. The European Defence Fund (EDF) is part of the set of initiatives implemented by the European Union (EU) - in line with the objectives outlined in the 2016 Global Strategy - aimed at strengthening cooperation and coordination of its security and defence policies and thus responding to the growing threats mentioned above.
The Recent Iranian Terrorist Plots in Europe
Our Ceo Claude Moniquet analyses the current terrorist threat posed to Europe by the Iranian government.
L’ESISC réalise une analyse sur le mouvement des Gilets jaunes
L’ESISC réalise une analyse sur le mouvement des Gilets jaunes qui sera disponible vendredi 7 décembre à partir de 14 heures (à la veille de la prochaine grande journée de mobilisation).
Gun violence: As American as cherry pie?
Civilian firearms manufacturing, ownership and murder trends in context of the two deadliest mass shooting in U.S. history. In the 1960’s, political activist H. Rap Brown described that violence “is as American as cherry pie”. This paper investigates the particularity of gun violence in the United States by consider-ing the prevalence of firearms laterally to an escalation in firearms murders. The preva-lence of firearms is assessed by considering trends in gun manufacturing and ownership. This examination takes place in the context of the deadliest mass shooting in U.S. history taking place in Las Vegas on 1 October 2017, and the deadliest church shooting in Texas on 5 November 2017, which illustrate a recent escalation in gun violence. This paper will also consider the political discussions following the shootings, which highlight political points of interests in current U.S. gun legislation. The shootings were utilized by both those opposing current legislation and those who support it, with new dimensions introduced to the debate including bipartisan concerns regarding the transformation of assault rifles into automatic weapons.
«Quand les ONG nuisent aux intérêts de ceux qu’elles prétendent défendre»
Etude de cas Fian-Belgium Les « dérives néocolonialistes » d’une ONG de développement
Traite des êtres humains, exploitation sexuelle et prostitution : le poids du crime organisé
Rapport présenté le 4 octobre 2016 dans le cadre du colloque « The growing threat of trafficking in women, sexual exploitation and prostitution : protecting human rights of women and ending violence »
The Armenian Connection. Chapter 2: « Mr X », Nils Muižnieks, Council of Europe Commissioner for Human Rights
As was announced in a previous report devoted to the Armenian network which operates stealthily within the Council of Europe Parliamentary Assembly, we reveal today the identity of Mister “X”, the pivotal figure of the clandestine network. Mister “X” is the Latvian Nils Muižnieks, who for more than 5 years has been the Council of Europe’s Commissioner for Human Rights and who was an employee for Georges Soros.
The Armenian Connection: How a secret caucus of MPs and NGOs, since 2012, created a network within the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe to hide violations of international law
For several years, a network of non-governmental organizations and its connections within the Council of Europe has led a merciless propaganda campaign against Azerbaijan to benefit Armenia. While no one assumes that Azerbaijan is a perfect and ideal State, it is clear that these unilateral and untruthful attacks are the tool of a hidden political agenda: to defend Armenia’s illegal occupation of Nagorny-Karabakh and to place the control of all Council of Europe activities in central and eastern Europe in the hands of a small clique that, despite appearances, hides its private interests behind the purview of the “defense of human rights.” In this first report, we will try to unveil the extent of these activities.
République d’Azerbaïdjan : Sur l’importance du référendum pour l’amendement de la Constitution du 26 septembre 2016
Le lundi 26 septembre était une date d’une importance particulière pour la République d’Azerbaïdjan : les citoyens azerbaïdjanais étaient invités à se prononcer sur une série d’amendements de la Constitution. Cette réforme d’une Constitution qui se caractérise par le souci de la protection de la démocratie et des droits fondamentaux du citoyen constituait une démonstration incontestable de la volonté de l’Etat azerbaïdjanais de conforter les droits garantis par la Constitution à tous les citoyens, sans distinction de genre, d’ethnicité et de conviction philosophique et religieuse.
Symbolic loss of Dabiq prompts adapted propaganda strategy for Islamic State
One of the greatest tools of the Islamic State (IS) is its propaganda machine. Since its creation, IS has mastered the art of communication, especially on social media, through video production, and by positioning itself to be found during internet searches. It has adopted a communication strategy that is calculated, planned, and powerful. This strategy allows IS to recruit, to inform, and also to terrorize its enemies by releasing videos of mass executions and decapitations. In recent months, the coalition forces have begun to systematically dismantle this machine, both in terms of personnel and electronic infrastructure, forcing IS to adapt and focus more on private electronic messaging and on quality over quantity of materials published.
Belgique : La Fusillade de Forest révèle l'existence d'un réseau en lien avec les attentats de Paris et noyau dur d'opérations terroristes
Au lendemain de la fusillade de Forest dans laquelle 4 policiers ont été blessés, un suspect a d’ores et déjà été identifié, tandis qu’au moins 2, sinon 3, sont toujours en fuite. Cette fusillade est depuis l’assaut donné sur l’appartement de Saint Denis du 18 Novembre, le premier incident impliquant l’utilisation d’armes à feu.
Latest crackdown measures against PKK and IS reveal the security priorities for the Turkish
The latest operations against IS terrorists and members of the Kurdistan Worker’s Party (PKK) reveal the 2 priority targets the Turkish government posed concerning the security of the country. The government of Justice and Development Party (AKP) and President Erdogan showed with their policy towards PKK and IS that these 2 groups are perceived as the main security threat. Already prior to the national elections of November 1st AKP introduced a hard-line policy towards PKK and IS which was announced that it would continue even more intensified after the election results, when AKP won the parliamentary majority.
Russia: Islamic State vs Al Qaeda; Deepening crisis in Imarat Kavkaz contributes to the reinforcement of IS positions in post-Soviet space
The security developments of the past months in Northern Caucasus indicate two main trends: 1. The clear weakening of the positions of Al-Qaeda-linked Imarat Kavkaz and 2. The reinforcing positions of the Islamic State. Indeed, a recent string of counter-terrorism operations in Northern Caucasus, that resulted in the killing of numerous senior terrorist members of Imarat Kavkaz including the Emir Mukhammad, who succeeded Doku Umarov after his death, put the group in situation of harsh competition with the Islamic State who is increasing its presence in Russia.
Analyses 20-40 »
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